In the upcoming UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025, Bogdan Guskov (18-3-0, UFC Record: 4-1-0) will face Jan Blachowicz (ELO: 1125). As an active fighter in the 205 lbs. division, Guskov holds a strong record with a striking accuracy of 55% and strikes per minute at 4.17. His recent form shows a win-loss ratio of 4-1 in his last five fights, with his biggest victory being against Nikita Krylov (ELO: 1104).

However, Guskov is considered the underdog in this matchup, with an ELO rating of 1073 compared to Blachowicz's 1125. This 52-point ELO difference suggests that Blachowicz has a slight advantage, as he boasts a takedown accuracy of 48% and striking accuracy of 49%.

If betting odds are available, they might reflect the ELO prediction, with Blachowicz potentially being favored due to his higher ELO rating and stronger takedown game. Nonetheless, Guskov's impressive recent form and striking prowess could make for an exciting and competitive matchup.