In the upcoming UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on November 22, 2025, Bogdan Grad (15-3-0, ELO: 1022) is set to face Luke Riley (ELO: 984). Grad, currently active with a 2-1 UFC record, has a significant advantage over his opponent in terms of ELO rating and fighting statistics.
Grad's takedown accuracy stands at 36%, while Riley has yet to register any successful takedowns (TD: 0%). In striking accuracy, Grad boasts a 51% success rate compared to Riley's 0%. With strikes per minute averaging 4.44 for Grad, the matchup favors him as the favorite by 38 ELO points.
Betting odds are not provided in this context, but based on the ELO difference and stats comparison, it is expected that Grad will be the clear favorite going into the fight against Riley.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | Luke Riley | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 0:30 | Loss | +200 |
| 2025-06-21 | UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. | Muhammad Naimov | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2025-02-01 | UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov | Lucas Alexander | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 4:22 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2025-11-22 | Luke Riley | 1000 | Loss | -16 | 990 |
| 2 | 2025-06-21 | Muhammad Naimov | 1053 | Loss | -14 | 1006 |
| 1 | 2025-02-01 | Lucas Alexander | 984 | Win | +20 | 1020 |