Luke Riley, a 145-pound fighter with an impressive undefeated record of 11-0-0, is preparing for his second UFC fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on November 22, 2025. Riley's UFC debut ended in a loss, leaving him with a recent form of 0-1. Despite his professional success, his ELO rating of 984 places him as an underdog against Grad, who boasts an ELO of 1022.

Grad's takedown accuracy (36%) and striking percentage (51%) suggest a more aggressive fighting style compared to Riley, whose stats remain unrecorded. The 38-point ELO difference indicates that Grad is favored in this matchup. However, betting odds are not yet available for this event, making it uncertain if they will align with the ELO prediction. Riley will need to demonstrate improved technique and strategy to challenge Grad's advantage in this upcoming fight.