Muhammad Naimov, an active fighter in the 145 lbs division with a MMA record of 13-3-0 and a UFC record of 5-1-0, is set to face Mairon Santos at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025. Naimov holds an ELO rating of 1067, while his opponent, Santos, has an ELO rating of 1039, making Naimov the favorite by 28 ELO points.
Naimov's recent form shows a strong record of 4-1 in his last 5 fights, with his biggest win against Nathaniel Wood (ELO: 1085). In comparison, Santos has no recorded takedowns and a strike accuracy of 46%. Naimov's takedown accuracy stands at 36% and strike accuracy at 40%, with a lower strikes per minute rate of 2.61.
Given the ELO difference and the contrast in stats, particularly in takedowns and overall offense, Muhammad Naimov appears to be the favorite in this matchup. However, betting odds are not provided in the given facts, so it's unclear if they align with the ELO prediction.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | Mairon Santos | KO/TKO Punches | 3 | 0:21 | Loss | +204 |
| 2025-06-21 | UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. | Bogdan Grad | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2025-02-01 | UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov | Kaan Ofli | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-06-22 | UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov | Felipe Lima | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 3 | 1:15 | Loss | - |
| 2024-02-24 | UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 | Erik Silva | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:44 | Win | - |
| 2023-10-21 | UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 | Nathaniel Wood | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-06-03 | UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi | Jamie Mullarkey | KO/TKO Punch | 2 | 2:59 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2025-12-06 | Mairon Santos | 1039 | Loss | -17 | 1050 |
| 6 | 2025-06-21 | Bogdan Grad | 1020 | Win | +14 | 1067 |
| 5 | 2025-02-01 | Kaan Ofli | 984 | Win | +13 | 1053 |
| 4 | 2024-06-22 | Felipe Lima | 1000 | Loss | -19 | 1040 |
| 3 | 2024-02-24 | Erik Silva | 983 | Win | +18 | 1059 |
| 2 | 2023-10-21 | Nathaniel Wood | 1085 | Win | +19 | 1041 |
| 1 | 2023-06-03 | Jamie Mullarkey | 1017 | Win | +22 | 1022 |