Alexandre Pantoja, a seasoned 125 lbs. MMA fighter with an impressive record of 30-5-0 and a UFC record of 14-3-0, is set to compete at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025. His opponent, Joshua Van, has an ELO rating of 1096 compared to Pantoja's 1162, making Pantoja the favorite in this matchup by 66 ELO points.
Pantoja boasts a takedown accuracy of 47% and strike accuracy of 50%, while striking at an average of 4.36 times per minute. In contrast, Van's stats show a takedown accuracy of 63% and strike accuracy of 56%.
Given the ELO difference and a slightly better striking accuracy, Pantoja is expected to have an advantage in this fight. However, it's important to note that the outcome can still be unpredictable due to various factors such as strategy, preparation, and unexpected events during the match.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | Joshua Van | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:26 | Loss | -225 |
| 2025-06-28 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | Kai Kara-France | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 3 | 1:55 | Win | - |
| 2024-12-07 | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura | Kai Asakura | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 2 | 2:05 | Win | - |
| 2024-05-04 | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg | Steve Erceg | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-12-16 | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington | Brandon Royval | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-07-08 | UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez | Brandon Moreno | S-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2022-07-30 | UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 | Alex Perez | SUB Neck Crank | 1 | 1:31 | Win | - |
| 2021-08-21 | UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum | Brandon Royval | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 2 | 1:46 | Win | - |
| 2021-02-06 | UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov | Manel Kape | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2020-07-18 | UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 | Askar Askarov | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2019-12-21 | UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie | Matt Schnell | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 4:17 | Win | - |
| 2019-07-27 | UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar | Deiveson Figueiredo | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2019-04-13 | UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 | Wilson Reis | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 2:58 | Win | - |
| 2018-11-17 | UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio | Yuta Sasaki | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 1 | 2:18 | Win | - |
| 2018-05-19 | UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman | Brandon Moreno | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2018-01-20 | UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou | Dustin Ortiz | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2017-07-16 | UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio | Neil Seery | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 3 | 2:31 | Win | - |
| 2017-01-28 | UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena | Eric Shelton | S-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2025-12-06 | Joshua Van | 1096 | Loss | -19 | 1143 |
| 17 | 2025-06-28 | Kai Kara-France | 1076 | Win | +18 | 1162 |
| 16 | 2024-12-07 | Kai Asakura | 1000 | Win | +15 | 1144 |
| 15 | 2024-05-04 | Steve Erceg | 1053 | Win | +13 | 1129 |
| 14 | 2023-12-16 | Brandon Royval | 1054 | Win | +14 | 1116 |
| 13 | 2023-07-08 | Brandon Moreno | 1125 | Win | 0 | 1102 |
| 12 | 2022-07-30 | Alex Perez | 1083 | Win | +21 | 1102 |
| 11 | 2021-08-21 | Brandon Royval | 1024 | Win | +19 | 1081 |
| 10 | 2021-02-06 | Manel Kape | 1000 | Win | +14 | 1062 |
| 9 | 2020-07-18 | Askar Askarov | 1015 | Loss | -18 | 1048 |
| 8 | 2019-12-21 | Matt Schnell | 1031 | Win | +20 | 1066 |
| 7 | 2019-07-27 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 1051 | Loss | -17 | 1046 |
| 6 | 2019-04-13 | Wilson Reis | 1052 | Win | +21 | 1063 |
| 5 | 2018-11-17 | Yuta Sasaki | 1026 | Win | +21 | 1042 |
| 4 | 2018-05-19 | Brandon Moreno | 1030 | Win | +17 | 1021 |
| 3 | 2018-01-20 | Dustin Ortiz | 1007 | Loss | -17 | 1004 |
| 2 | 2017-07-16 | Neil Seery | 1010 | Win | +21 | 1021 |
| 1 | 2017-01-28 | Eric Shelton | 1000 | Win | 0 | 1000 |