In the upcoming UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025, Joshua Van will face Alexandre Pantoja. With an ELO rating of 1096 compared to Pantoja's 1162, Van is the underdog in this matchup by a margin of 66 ELO points.
Van, who holds a professional MMA record of 15-2-0 and a UFC record of 8-1-0, has been on a five-fight winning streak. His recent victory over Brandon Royval (ELO: 1040) stands out as one of his most significant wins.
In terms of statistics, Van demonstrates impressive takedown accuracy at 63%, and strike accuracy at 56%. He averages 8.86 strikes per minute. Pantoja, on the other hand, has a takedown accuracy of 47% and strike accuracy of 50%.
Given the ELO difference and statistical comparison, it appears that Pantoja is favored in this matchup. However, betting odds for this fight have not been provided, so it's unclear if they align with the ELO prediction.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | Alexandre Pantoja | KO/TKO | 1 | 0:26 | Win | +170 |
| 2025-06-28 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | Brandon Royval | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2025-06-07 | UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 | Bruno Silva | KO/TKO Punches | 3 | 4:01 | Win | - |
| 2025-03-08 | UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev | Rei Tsuruya | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-12-07 | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura | Cody Durden | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-09-14 | UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC | Edgar Chairez | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-07-13 | UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez | Charles Johnson | KO/TKO Punch | 3 | 0:20 | Loss | - |
| 2024-01-13 | UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 | Felipe Bunes | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 4:31 | Win | - |
| 2023-11-11 | UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira | Kevin Borjas | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-06-24 | UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria | Zhalgas Zhumagulov | S-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2025-12-06 | Alexandre Pantoja | 1162 | Win | +24 | 1120 |
| 9 | 2025-06-28 | Brandon Royval | 1040 | Win | +14 | 1096 |
| 8 | 2025-06-07 | Bruno Silva | 1005 | Win | +18 | 1082 |
| 7 | 2025-03-08 | Rei Tsuruya | 1015 | Win | +14 | 1064 |
| 6 | 2024-12-07 | Cody Durden | 1038 | Win | +16 | 1050 |
| 5 | 2024-09-14 | Edgar Chairez | 1005 | Win | +15 | 1034 |
| 4 | 2024-07-13 | Charles Johnson | 1011 | Loss | -17 | 1019 |
| 3 | 2024-01-13 | Felipe Bunes | 1000 | Win | +20 | 1036 |
| 2 | 2023-11-11 | Kevin Borjas | 1000 | Win | +16 | 1016 |
| 1 | 2023-06-24 | Zhalgas Zhumagulov | 975 | Win | 0 | 1000 |