In the upcoming UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025, Jan Blachowicz (ELO: 1125) is set to face Bogdan Guskov (ELO: 1073). With a significant ELO difference of 52 points in his favor, Blachowicz is the favorite in this matchup.
Blachowicz's impressive MMA record of 29-11-1, including a UFC record of 12-8-0, showcases his experience and skill. His recent form, with two wins in the last five fights, indicates he is still a force to be reckoned with.
In contrast, Guskov's ELO rating and lack of takedown accuracy (0%) suggest a potential disadvantage against Blachowicz, who boasts a high takedown accuracy rate of 48%. Additionally, Guskov's strike accuracy is at 55%, while Blachowicz averages 3.44 strikes per minute.
Given these statistics and the ELO difference, it is expected that betting odds will favor Jan Blachowicz in this matchup. However, it is important to note that while ELO ratings can provide a useful guide, they do not guarantee outcomes in MMA fights, which are often unpredictable due to various factors such as strategy, mental toughness, and unexpected events.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | Bogdan Guskov | M-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | -111 |
| 2025-03-22 | UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady | Carlos Ulberg | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2023-07-29 | UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 | Alex Pereira | S-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2022-12-10 | UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | S-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2022-05-14 | UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic | Aleksandar Rakic | KO/TKO | 3 | 1:11 | Win | - |
| 2021-10-30 | UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira | Glover Teixeira | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 2 | 3:02 | Loss | - |
| 2021-03-06 | UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2020-09-26 | UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa | Dominick Reyes | KO/TKO Punch | 2 | 4:36 | Win | - |
| 2020-02-15 | UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz | Corey Anderson | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 3:08 | Win | - |
| 2019-11-16 | UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare | Jacare Souza | S-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2019-07-06 | UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos | Luke Rockhold | KO/TKO Punch | 2 | 1:39 | Win | - |
| 2019-02-23 | UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos | Thiago Santos | KO/TKO Punch | 3 | 0:39 | Loss | - |
| 2018-09-15 | UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik | Nikita Krylov | SUB Arm Triangle | 2 | 2:41 | Win | - |
| 2018-03-17 | UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov | Jimi Manuwa | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2017-12-16 | UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos | Jared Cannonier | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2017-10-21 | UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till | Devin Clark | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 2 | 3:02 | Win | - |
| 2017-04-08 | UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | Patrick Cummins | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2016-09-03 | UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett | Alexander Gustafsson | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2016-04-10 | UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos | Igor Pokrajac | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2015-09-05 | UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 | Corey Anderson | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2015-04-11 | UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 | Jimi Manuwa | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2014-10-04 | UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story | Ilir Latifi | KO/TKO Kick | 1 | 1:58 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2025-12-06 | Bogdan Guskov | 1073 | Win | 0 | 1125 |
| 21 | 2025-03-22 | Carlos Ulberg | 1117 | Loss | -17 | 1125 |
| 20 | 2023-07-29 | Alex Pereira | 1077 | Loss | 0 | 1142 |
| 19 | 2022-12-10 | Magomed Ankalaev | 1151 | Win | 0 | 1142 |
| 18 | 2022-05-14 | Aleksandar Rakic | 1110 | Win | +20 | 1142 |
| 17 | 2021-10-30 | Glover Teixeira | 1190 | Loss | -13 | 1122 |
| 16 | 2021-03-06 | Israel Adesanya | 1163 | Win | +18 | 1135 |
| 15 | 2020-09-26 | Dominick Reyes | 1096 | Win | +21 | 1117 |
| 14 | 2020-02-15 | Corey Anderson | 1122 | Win | +23 | 1096 |
| 13 | 2019-11-16 | Jacare Souza | 1150 | Win | 0 | 1073 |
| 12 | 2019-07-06 | Luke Rockhold | 1100 | Win | +23 | 1073 |
| 11 | 2019-02-23 | Thiago Santos | 1143 | Loss | -12 | 1050 |
| 10 | 2018-09-15 | Nikita Krylov | 1076 | Win | +23 | 1062 |
| 9 | 2018-03-17 | Jimi Manuwa | 1074 | Win | +18 | 1039 |
| 8 | 2017-12-16 | Jared Cannonier | 1032 | Win | +17 | 1021 |
| 7 | 2017-10-21 | Devin Clark | 1016 | Win | +23 | 1004 |
| 6 | 2017-04-08 | Patrick Cummins | 1014 | Loss | -15 | 981 |
| 5 | 2016-09-03 | Alexander Gustafsson | 1111 | Loss | -11 | 996 |
| 4 | 2016-04-10 | Igor Pokrajac | 971 | Win | +15 | 1007 |
| 3 | 2015-09-05 | Corey Anderson | 1019 | Loss | -15 | 992 |
| 2 | 2015-04-11 | Jimi Manuwa | 1048 | Loss | -15 | 1007 |
| 1 | 2014-10-04 | Ilir Latifi | 1027 | Win | +22 | 1022 |