Mairon Santos, with an impressive MMA record of 17-1-0 and a perfect 3-0-0 in UFC, is set to face Muhammad Naimov at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025. Santos' recent form shows a streak of three consecutive wins, all within the UFC. His most significant victory was against Sodiq Yusuff, who holds an ELO rating of 1061.

In this matchup, Santos is classified as the underdog with a 28-point ELO deficit compared to Naimov (ELO: 1067). Statistically, Santos has a lower takedown accuracy at 0%, while Naimov boasts a 36% success rate. However, Santos' strike accuracy of 46% is higher than Naimov's 40%. The striking statistics suggest that the fight could be more stand-up oriented, with Santos potentially relying on his accuracy advantage to secure victories.

Betting odds are not provided in this context, but based on the ELO difference and stats comparison, it is expected that Muhammad Naimov might be favored due to his higher ELO rating and takedown success rate. However, Santos' impressive record and striking accuracy could potentially lead to an upset if he can capitalize on his advantages in the stand-up game.