In the upcoming UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on November 22, 2025, Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0, ELO: 1032) will face Waldo Cortes Acosta (ELO: 1118). Gaziev, currently active with a UFC record of 3-2-0, is an underdog in this matchup, with an ELO difference of 86 points.
Gaziev's takedown accuracy stands at 30%, while Cortes Acosta boasts a higher rate of 50%. However, Gaziev's strike accuracy (48%) slightly edges out his opponent's (48%). In terms of strikes per minute, Gaziev averages 2.57 compared to Cortes Acosta's unspecified rate.
Based on the ELO difference and a slight advantage in striking accuracy, it appears that Cortes Acosta may be favored in this matchup. However, betting odds are not provided for this hypothetical event, so it remains to be seen if they align with the ELO prediction.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | Waldo Cortes Acosta | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 1:22 | Loss | +114 |
| 2025-02-01 | UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov | Thomas Petersen | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 3:12 | Win | - |
| 2024-08-03 | UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov | Don'Tale Mayes | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-03-02 | UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | KO/TKO | 4 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2023-12-16 | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington | Martin Buday | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 0:56 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2025-11-22 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 1105 | Loss | -13 | 1032 |
| 4 | 2025-02-01 | Thomas Petersen | 1002 | Win | +20 | 1045 |
| 3 | 2024-08-03 | Don'Tale Mayes | 1014 | Win | +16 | 1025 |
| 2 | 2024-03-02 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 1074 | Loss | -14 | 1009 |
| 1 | 2023-12-16 | Martin Buday | 1049 | Win | +23 | 1023 |