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Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

1064 ELO #340

"The Problem"

MMA 15-3-0 · UFC 6-2-0 · Lightweight · Last fought 66 days ago

Chris Duncan "The Problem" - UFC Fighter Profile

Career Highlights: Chris Duncan has 6 wins in the UFC. Chris Duncan lands an average of 4.83 significant strikes per minute and averages 2.92 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Sensible Hypothetical Matchups

No fight is booked yet. These active Lightweight fighters are a similar age (within 8 years) and ELO (closest to 1064), and have not fought Chris Duncan before.

Opponent UFC Age ELO Δ Age Δ ELO
Mike Davis 5-2-0 33 1060 0.0 4
Rafael Fiziev 7-5-0 33 1070 0.0 6
Alexander Hernandez 10-8-0 33 1075 0.0 11
Sodiq Yusuff 6-4-0 33 1043 0.0 21
Tommy Gantt 1-0-0 33 1021 0.0 43
Nikolas Motta 3-3-0 33 1014 0.0 50

Fight Results Breakdown

8
Total Fights

Fighter Profile

Chris Duncan, a seasoned fighter with an impressive record of 14-2-0, is set to face Terrance McKinney at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025. With a UFC record of 5-1-0 and an ELO rating of 1058, Duncan has proven his mettle in the octagon. His recent form shows a strong performance with four wins in his last five fights.

Duncan's opponent, McKinney, boasts an ELO rating of 1068, making this an even matchup. Both fighters have impressive stats: Duncan has a takedown accuracy of 42% and strike accuracy of 44%, while McKinney excels in strikes with a 56% accuracy rate.

Given the similar ELO ratings and close statistics, this fight promises to be closely contested. However, betting odds are not yet available for UFC 323, making it difficult to predict a favorite at this time. Regardless, fans can expect an exciting bout between these two skilled fighters.

Biggest Win

Terrance McKinney in 2025
Opponent ELO: 1068

Physical & Background Stats

Height
5' 10'
Weight
Lightweight
Reach
71'
Stance
Orthodox
Date of Birth
May 10 1993
Age
33
Peak ELO
1079
ELO Rank
340 of 2693
Strength of Schedule
118-37-1
Combined record of UFC opponents
Avg ELO of Opponents
1030.9
Avg ELO of Defeated Opponents
1004.8

Performance Statistics

SLpM
4.83
Significant Strikes Landed per Minute
Str. Acc.
45%
Significant Striking Accuracy
SApM
4.57
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute
Str. Def.
50%
Significant Strike Defence
TD Avg.
2.92
Average Takedowns per 15 minutes
TD Acc.
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Sub. Avg.
0.6
Average Submissions per 15 minutes

Chris Duncan Fight History

No defeats in this fight history.

Date Event Opponent Method Round Time Result Odds
2026-04-04 UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan Renato Moicano SUB Rear Naked Choke 2 3:14 Loss -139
2025-12-06 UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Terrance McKinney SUB Anaconda Choke 1 2:30 Win -208
2025-08-02 UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Mateusz Rebecki U-DEC 3 5:00 Win +170
2025-03-22 UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Jordan Vucenic SUB Guillotine Choke 2 3:42 Win -
2024-09-28 UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis Bolaji Oki SUB Guillotine Choke 1 3:34 Win -
2024-02-24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 Manuel Torres SUB Rear Naked Choke 1 1:46 Loss -
2023-07-22 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Yanal Ashmouz U-DEC 3 5:00 Win -
2023-03-18 UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Omar Morales S-DEC 3 5:00 Win -

ELO Progression Over Time

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Chris Duncan ELO Rating Calculation

Fight # Date Opponent Name Opponent ELO Result ELO Gained ELO
8 2026-04-04 Renato Moicano 1106 Loss -15 1064
7 2025-12-06 Terrance McKinney 1068 Win +21 1079
6 2025-08-02 Mateusz Rebecki 1043 Win +16 1058
5 2025-03-22 Jordan Vucenic 983 Win +19 1042
4 2024-09-28 Bolaji Oki 1000 Win +21 1023
3 2024-02-24 Manuel Torres 1040 Loss -15 1002
2 2023-07-22 Yanal Ashmouz 1021 Win +17 1017
1 2023-03-18 Omar Morales 998 Win 0 1000

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