UFC Match Center
Rafael Tobias

Rafael Tobias

967 ELO #2466

"Bipolar"

MMA 14-3-0 · UFC 0-2-0 · Light Heavyweight · Last fought 23 days ago

Rafael Tobias "Bipolar" - UFC Fighter Profile

Career Highlights: Rafael Tobias has 0 wins in the UFC. Rafael Tobias lands an average of 2.17 significant strikes per minute and averages 2.0 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Sensible Hypothetical Matchups

No fight is booked yet. These active Light Heavyweight fighters are a similar age (within 8 years) and ELO (closest to 967), and have not fought Rafael Tobias before.

Opponent UFC Age ELO Δ Age Δ ELO
Felipe Franco 1-1-0 25 1008 2.0 41
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 3-0-0 25 1057 2.0 90
Magomed Tuchalov 1-0-0 26 1014 3.0 47
Julius Walker 1-3-0 27 988 4.0 21
Iwo Baraniewski 3-0-0 27 1058 4.0 91
Zhang Mingyang 3-2-0 28 1032 5.0 65

Biggest Upset Loss

Diyar Nurgozhay in 2026
Your ELO: 1000 · Opponent ELO: 967 · Favored by 33

Physical & Background Stats

Height
6' 2'
Weight
Light Heavyweight
Reach
74'
Stance
Orthodox
Date of Birth
Mar 20 2003
Age
23
Peak ELO
982
ELO Rank
2466 of 2748
Strength of Schedule
26-5-0
Combined record of UFC opponents
Avg ELO of Opponents
1013.0
Avg ELO of Defeated Opponents
N/A

Performance Statistics

SLpM
2.17
Significant Strikes Landed per Minute
Str. Acc.
32%
Significant Striking Accuracy
SApM
5.95
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute
Str. Def.
37%
Significant Strike Defence
TD Avg.
2.0
Average Takedowns per 15 minutes
TD Acc.
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Sub. Avg.
1.0
Average Submissions per 15 minutes

Rafael Tobias Fight History

No defeats in this fight history.

Date Event Opponent Method Round Time Result Odds
2026-08-15 UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Lucas Fernando KO/TKO Knee 3 1:10 Loss +250
2026-03-07 UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Diyar Nurgozhay U-DEC 3 5:00 Loss -157

Rafael Tobias ELO Rating Calculation

Fight # Date Opponent Name Opponent ELO Result ELO Gained ELO
2 2026-08-15 Lucas Fernando 1000 Loss -15 967
1 2026-03-07 Diyar Nurgozhay 967 Loss -18 982

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