In the upcoming UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on 2025-11-22, Ian Machado Garry (ELO: 1107) will face Belal Muhammad (ELO: 1192). As an underdog with a 85 ELO point deficit, Garry holds a MMA record of 16-1-0 and UFC record of 9-2-0. His recent form shows a 3-2 record in the last 5 fights, with his biggest win against Neil Magny (ELO: 1134).
Garry's takedown accuracy is at 33%, while strike accuracy stands at 54%. He averages 4.77 strikes per minute. Muhammad has a takedown accuracy of 38% and strike accuracy of 43%. Based on ELO ratings, Muhammad is the favorite in this matchup due to the higher rating. However, Garry's strong striking accuracy and recent wins could potentially make for an exciting underdog performance. Betting odds are not provided in this context, but they may reflect a similar favoritism towards Muhammad based on the ELO difference.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | Belal Muhammad | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | -274 |
| 2025-04-26 | UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates | Carlos Prates | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-12-07 | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura | Shavkat Rakhmonov | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2024-06-29 | UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 | Michael Page | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2024-02-17 | UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria | Geoff Neal | S-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-08-19 | UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley | Neil Magny | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2023-05-13 | UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida | Daniel Rodriguez | KO/TKO Kick | 1 | 2:57 | Win | - |
| 2023-03-04 | UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane | Song Kenan | KO/TKO Punches | 3 | 4:22 | Win | - |
| 2022-07-02 | UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier | Gabe Green | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2022-04-09 | UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie | Darian Weeks | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2021-11-06 | UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 | Jordan Williams | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 4:59 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2025-11-22 | Belal Muhammad | 1179 | Win | +19 | 1139 |
| 10 | 2025-04-26 | Carlos Prates | 1091 | Win | +15 | 1120 |
| 9 | 2024-12-07 | Shavkat Rakhmonov | 1137 | Loss | -15 | 1105 |
| 8 | 2024-06-29 | Michael Page | 1021 | Win | +12 | 1120 |
| 7 | 2024-02-17 | Geoff Neal | 1080 | Win | 0 | 1108 |
| 6 | 2023-08-19 | Neil Magny | 1134 | Win | +18 | 1108 |
| 5 | 2023-05-13 | Daniel Rodriguez | 1079 | Win | +21 | 1090 |
| 4 | 2023-03-04 | Song Kenan | 1038 | Win | +20 | 1069 |
| 3 | 2022-07-02 | Gabe Green | 1023 | Win | +15 | 1049 |
| 2 | 2022-04-09 | Darian Weeks | 986 | Win | +14 | 1034 |
| 1 | 2021-11-06 | Jordan Williams | 971 | Win | +20 | 1020 |