NCAA Men's Basketball Strategy Comparison

Compare Value-Based Betting Strategies

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About This Analysis

Value-Based Strategy Comparison

This page compares three value-based betting strategies:

  • Value Only: Fixed $75 bet when there's any positive edge (model probability > market probability)
  • Value Edge Scaled: Scale bet size by edge × 4 (larger bets on bigger edges, more aggressive)
  • Half Edge: Scale bet size by edge × 0.5 (conservative sizing, lower variance)

Data Sources: NCAA Men's Basketball game data from ESPN API • Historical odds (2022-2024) from FantasyData • Live odds from betting APIs

Evaluation Period: January 1, 2025+ (401 holdout games with complete odds coverage)

Strategy Performance

Value Only (Any Positive Edge)
ROI
0.0%
Total Bets
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Wins
0
Losses
0
Total Profit
$0
Total Wagered
$0
Edge Threshold
0%
Max Drawdown
$0 (0.0%)
Capital Required
$0
Monthly Profit/Drawdown
999.99x
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Value Edge Scaled (Edge × 4)
ROI
0.0%
Total Bets
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Wins
0
Losses
0
Total Profit
$0
Total Wagered
$0
Edge Threshold
0%
Max Drawdown
$0 (0.0%)
Capital Required
$0
Monthly Profit/Drawdown
999.99x
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Half Edge (Edge × 0.5)
ROI
0.0%
Total Bets
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Wins
0
Losses
0
Total Profit
$0
Total Wagered
$0
Edge Threshold
0%
Max Drawdown
$0 (0.0%)
Capital Required
$0
Monthly Profit/Drawdown
999.99x
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Side-by-Side Comparison

Strategy Edge % Bets Win Rate Total Wagered Total Profit ROI
Value Only (Any Positive Edge) 0% 0 0.0% $0 $0 0.0%
Value Edge Scaled (Edge × 4) 0% 0 0.0% $0 $0 0.0%
Half Edge (Edge × 0.5) 0% 0 0.0% $0 $0 0.0%

Visual Comparison