Payton Talbott, a formidable 135-pound fighter with an impressive MMA record of 10-1-0 and a UFC record of 4-1-0, is set to face Henry Cejudo at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 on December 6, 2025. Talbott's ELO rating of 1059 places him as the underdog in this matchup, with Cejudo holding a higher rating of 1109.
In terms of statistics, Talbott boasts a takedown accuracy of 25% and a strike accuracy of 54%, while striking at an average of 6.05 times per minute. His opponent, Henry Cejudo, has a takedown accuracy of 31% and a strike accuracy of 47%.
Given the ELO difference of 50 points and the comparison of their statistics, Talbott is expected to be the underdog in this fight. However, it's important to note that MMA outcomes can often defy statistical predictions due to various factors such as strategy, mental fortitude, and unforeseen circumstances. Betting odds for this matchup have not been provided, but they may reflect this ELO prediction if based on a comprehensive analysis of the fighters' performances and abilities.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | Henry Cejudo | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | -250 |
| 2025-06-28 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | Felipe Lima | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2025-01-18 | UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano | Raoni Barcelos | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2024-06-29 | UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 | Yanis Ghemmouri | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 0:19 | Win | - |
| 2024-03-23 | UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas | Cameron Saaiman | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 0:21 | Win | - |
| 2023-11-18 | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig | Nick Aguirre | SUB Rear Naked Choke | 3 | 0:58 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2025-12-06 | Henry Cejudo | 1109 | Win | +18 | 1077 |
| 5 | 2025-06-28 | Felipe Lima | 1041 | Win | +16 | 1059 |
| 4 | 2025-01-18 | Raoni Barcelos | 1065 | Loss | -16 | 1043 |
| 3 | 2024-06-29 | Yanis Ghemmouri | 984 | Win | +18 | 1059 |
| 2 | 2024-03-23 | Cameron Saaiman | 1024 | Win | +21 | 1041 |
| 1 | 2023-11-18 | Nick Aguirre | 983 | Win | +20 | 1020 |