Model pick: Luana Santos (56.5%) · -10.4% edge vs market · updated Jun 08, 2026
Luana Santos, an active fighter in the 135 lbs division with a MMA record of 9-2-0 and UFC record of 4-1-0, is set to face Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape on December 13, 2025. Santos holds an ELO rating of 1060, while her opponent has an ELO of 1022, making Santos the favorite by 38 ELO points.
In terms of stats, Santos boasts a takedown accuracy of 50% and strike accuracy of 52%, with an average of 3.69 strikes per minute. Croden's statistics show a takedown accuracy of 66% and strike accuracy of 56%. Given the ELO difference and slightly better striking accuracy, Santos appears to have an advantage in this matchup.
However, it's important to note that betting odds are not provided for this hypothetical fight. If betting odds were available, they might align with the ELO prediction, favoring Luana Santos due to her higher ELO rating and slightly better striking accuracy.
No defeats in this fight history.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Round | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape | Melissa Croden | 3 | Win |
| 2025-05-17 | UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales | Tainara Lisboa | 2 | Win |
| 2024-08-17 | UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya | Casey O'Neill | 3 | Loss |
| 2024-07-13 | UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez | Mariya Agapova | 1 | Win |
| 2023-12-09 | UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez | Stephanie Egger | 3 | Win |
| 2023-08-12 | UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos | Juliana Miller | 1 | Win |
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| Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Melissa Croden | 1022 | Win | +14 | 1074 |
| 2025-05-17 | Tainara Lisboa | 1035 | Win | +21 | 1060 |
| 2024-08-17 | Casey O'Neill | 1026 | Loss | -17 | 1039 |
| 2024-07-13 | Mariya Agapova | 992 | Win | +19 | 1056 |
| 2023-12-09 | Stephanie Egger | 1015 | Win | +16 | 1037 |
| 2023-08-12 | Juliana Miller | 1002 | Win | +21 | 1021 |