In the upcoming UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on November 22, 2025, Jack Hermansson is set to face Myktybek Orolbai. With an ELO rating of 1118 compared to Orolbai's 1045, Hermansson is the favorite in this matchup by 73 ELO points.
Hermansson boasts a more impressive record with 24 wins, 9 losses, and 0 draws, compared to Orolbai's 18-6-0. In terms of recent form, Hermansson has won three out of his last five fights, while Orolbai has four victories in the same period.
Their statistics also show a slight advantage for Hermansson, with higher takedown accuracy (29% vs 45%) and strike accuracy (45% vs 48%). However, Orolbai lands more strikes per minute (6.37 vs 5.13).
Given the ELO difference and statistical comparison, Jack Hermansson is expected to have an edge in this fight. If betting odds are available, they might reflect Hermansson as the favorite, aligning with the ELO prediction.
| Date | Event | Opponent | Method | Round | Time | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | Myktybek Orolbai | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 2:46 | Loss | +200 |
| 2025-06-28 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | Gregory Rodrigues | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 4:21 | Loss | - |
| 2024-02-10 | UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer | Joe Pyfer | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2022-12-03 | UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland | Roman Dolidze | KO/TKO Punches | 2 | 4:06 | Loss | - |
| 2022-07-23 | UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | Chris Curtis | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2022-02-05 | UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland | Sean Strickland | S-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2021-05-22 | UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt | Edmen Shahbazyan | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2020-12-05 | UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori | Marvin Vettori | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Loss | - |
| 2020-07-18 | UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 | Kelvin Gastelum | SUB Heel Hook | 1 | 1:18 | Win | - |
| 2019-09-28 | UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier | Jared Cannonier | KO/TKO Punch | 2 | 0:27 | Loss | - |
| 2019-04-27 | UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson | Jacare Souza | U-DEC | 5 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| 2019-03-30 | UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje | David Branch | SUB Guillotine Choke | 1 | 0:49 | Win | - |
| 2018-12-15 | UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta | Gerald Meerschaert | SUB Guillotine Choke | 1 | 4:25 | Win | - |
| 2018-05-12 | UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington | Thales Leites | KO/TKO Punches | 3 | 2:10 | Win | - |
| 2017-10-28 | UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida | Thiago Santos | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 4:59 | Loss | - |
| 2017-08-05 | UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno | Brad Scott | KO/TKO Punch | 1 | 3:50 | Win | - |
| 2017-05-28 | UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira | Alex Nicholson | KO/TKO Punches | 1 | 2:00 | Win | - |
| 2016-11-19 | UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira | Cezar Ferreira | SUB Arm Triangle | 2 | 2:11 | Loss | - |
| 2016-09-03 | UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett | Scott Askham | U-DEC | 3 | 5:00 | Win | - |
| Fight # | Date | Opponent Name | Opponent ELO | Result | ELO Gained | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 2025-11-22 | Myktybek Orolbai | 1059 | Loss | -18 | 1086 |
| 18 | 2025-06-28 | Gregory Rodrigues | 1093 | Loss | -17 | 1104 |
| 17 | 2024-02-10 | Joe Pyfer | 1066 | Win | +14 | 1121 |
| 16 | 2022-12-03 | Roman Dolidze | 1062 | Loss | -19 | 1107 |
| 15 | 2022-07-23 | Chris Curtis | 1063 | Win | +14 | 1126 |
| 14 | 2022-02-05 | Sean Strickland | 1115 | Loss | 0 | 1112 |
| 13 | 2021-05-22 | Edmen Shahbazyan | 1051 | Win | +14 | 1112 |
| 12 | 2020-12-05 | Marvin Vettori | 1074 | Loss | -18 | 1098 |
| 11 | 2020-07-18 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1111 | Win | +22 | 1116 |
| 10 | 2019-09-28 | Jared Cannonier | 1050 | Loss | -19 | 1094 |
| 9 | 2019-04-27 | Jacare Souza | 1169 | Win | +19 | 1113 |
| 8 | 2019-03-30 | David Branch | 1003 | Win | +18 | 1094 |
| 7 | 2018-12-15 | Gerald Meerschaert | 1066 | Win | +22 | 1076 |
| 6 | 2018-05-12 | Thales Leites | 1110 | Win | +25 | 1054 |
| 5 | 2017-10-28 | Thiago Santos | 1077 | Loss | -14 | 1029 |
| 4 | 2017-08-05 | Brad Scott | 995 | Win | +20 | 1043 |
| 3 | 2017-05-28 | Alex Nicholson | 993 | Win | +21 | 1023 |
| 2 | 2016-11-19 | Cezar Ferreira | 1035 | Loss | -15 | 1002 |
| 1 | 2016-09-03 | Scott Askham | 1025 | Win | +17 | 1017 |