Rafael Cerquiera, a 205-pound fighter with an MMA record of 11-3-0, is set to face Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker on November 22, 2025. Cerquiera's UFC record stands at 0-4-0, and his most recent fight was just a month ago. His ELO rating is 942, while Yakhyaev's is 1014, making Cerquiera the underdog in this matchup by 72 ELO points.

Statistically, Cerquiera has a takedown accuracy of 0% and a strike accuracy of 44%, averaging 1.61 strikes per minute. In contrast, Yakhyaev boasts a striking accuracy of 88%. Based on the ELO difference and stats comparison, Yakhyaev is favored in this fight due to his superior striking skills and higher ELO rating.

If betting odds are available for this matchup, they would likely favor Yakhyaev, aligning with the ELO prediction that suggests he has a higher probability of winning. However, it's important to note that MMA outcomes can be unpredictable, and other factors such as strategy, mental preparation, and fight-night performance can significantly impact the outcome.